Thursday, April 28, 2011

Losing streaks will continue at Richmond

I predict that we won't see the end of any major losing streaks at Richmond Saturday night. That means Dale Earnhardt Jr., Jeff Burton, Kasey Kahne and Mark Martin will not reach Victory Lane to end 50-plus race winless streaks. Nor will Brian Vickers, Joey Logano or Brad Keselowski.

Of that bunch of drivers, Logano might have the best shot after running a strong fourth in last fall's Richmond race, but JGR has been down this year and Logano is mired in 24th place in the standings with a single top-10. He'll need to show consistent improvement before hoping for a win.

Junior has been strong at Richmond in the past and has three career wins here, but has finished outside the top 20 in the past four races. He's been strong this season, but Richmond's not a likely place for him to finally break through for his first win in nearly three years.

Burton has been fairly good at Richmond recently, with top-5s in the last two spring races, but he has struggled mightily this season and it's been 13 races since his last Sprint Cup top-10. The No. 31 team has significant improvements to make before Burton will return to Victory Lane.

Martin, Kahne, Vickers and Keselowski have also been struggling this year, and their teams will have to pick it up before they can expect to break their winless streaks.

Vickers and Keselowski are nowhere close to winning anytime soon, while Martin and Kahne are in their last seasons (and in Kahne's case, his only season) with their teams. Martin has a better shot than Kahne at winning this year, but the odds are against him.

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